Details

Start: 
Mar 30, 2020

End: 
Apr 10, 2020

Course Number: 
ST20.08

Application Deadline:

Dec 11, 2019

 

Systemic Macro Financial Risk Analysis (MFRA)

Target Audience

Officials from central bank financial stability departments, banking regulatory and supervisory bodies, and ministries of finance.

Qualifications

Participants should have a degree in economics or finance. Experience with financial stability analysis is highly desirable.

Course Description

This course, presented by the Monetary and Capital Markets Department, provides a comprehensive overview of the theories, tools, and techniques necessary for thorough financial stability analysis. Topics include:

  • systemic risk assessment using a variety of models: their pros and cons, and how they are related;
  • tools for monitoring systemic risk: risk dashboard;
  • modeling links and feedback between macroeconomic variables and the financial sector, and vulnerabilities and risks of institutional sectors (banks, nonbank financial institutions, non-financial corporates, households, and general government);
  • extracting information from balance sheets and market data;
  • macro-financial risk analysis and stress testing of banks and sovereigns;
  • impact of credit risk and funding costs of changes in balance sheets and market risk appetite;
  • analysis of country cases when high-frequency and market data are available; and
  • analysis that can be carried out in data-constrained countries (illustrated by country case studies and workshops with spreadsheets).

Course Objectives

Upon completion of this course, participants should be able to:

  • Explain how to use balance sheet and market data to construct risk indicators to measure and monitor sector and systemic risk.
  • Summarize the tools and data needed for thorough monitoring of systemic risk.
  • Define data inputs, outputs, and applications of several types of systemic risk models, their pros and cons, and how they relate to one other.
  • Build models that relate macro variables to the time series of risk indicators.
  • Analyze risk transmission and feedback between macro variables and risk indicators for banks, nonbank financial institutions, corporates, households and the sovereign.
  • Build macroprudential banking stress tests, including funding-solvency interactions.
  • Analyze sovereign-bank linkages.